
The Assembly Banking and Finance Committee asked the California Research Bureau (CRB) in February to conduct research into the number of housing foreclosures in California and to publish periodic updates during the year in order to assist the Committee and the legislature in addressing the housing foreclosure crisis. The report was completed in May and was updated in July.
"This report provides important information regarding the breadth and depth of the housing crisis in California," said Assemblymen Nava, Chair of the Assembly Banking and Finance Committee. "Families throughout the state are clearly in crisis and having trouble staying in their homes. We need to make sure that the legislature takes appropriate action to help those in need."
"California is bearing the largest brunt of the housing crisis and families are losing their homes in record numbers," said Assemblymen Ted Lieu, Chair of the Assembly Rules Committee. "This report shows that federal regulators are failing us and that is why it is necessary that states like California take the lead in addressing this issue."
The California Research Bureau (CRB) foreclosure report highlights the following:
The estimate of housing foreclosures in California, spanning the three years 2006 – 09, varies from 170,000 to 434,000. Therefore, foreclosures will affect between 3.0 and 7.8 percent of all home owners with mortgages in the state by 2009.
Since this housing crisis is much more extreme than previous corrections, the recovery may not follow the same path as previous recoveries. In fact, some observers are comparing this cycle to the one experienced during the Great Depression, since this is the first cycle since then in which home prices have fallen throughout the nation.
The current evidence suggests the buyers who bought at the peak in 2006 – 07, paid the most inflated prices, were more likely to avail themselves of subprime adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs), and may now be at risk of being in negative equity positions (upside down on their mortgages). A 20 percent drop in prices from their peaks could leave as many as 14 million households with negative equity 9 - 2.8 million households in California.
The percentage of foreclosures of all mortgages outstanding is higher for California than for the nation as a whole.
The Pew Center on the States study presents California´s policy responses to the housing foreclosure crisis and the responses of other states and suggests that the states and the nation could be doing more to address the problem. Commendably, California has taken action to modify loans, but the study suggests that California could be doing more to help those at risk of losing their homes by, for example, helping them avoid falling victim to fraudulent rescue schemes and providing them with more counseling.
The Moody´s Economy.com forecast is for 411,000 defaults in California in 2008, compared with 212,000 defaults in 2007.<< MORE >>
We’ve all heard about Global Warming, Climate Change and Climate Shift. We understand what this means, so I will not take the time to explain and define it. I am not in denial of its existence or its effects. I have seen them first hand.
I will, however, take the time to express my thoughts on responsibility. By writing this, I do not imply that a change is not needed in our social and economic habits to become more “green” or to explore alternative energy sources. I am in fact an advocate of several things, which for some reason or another have not been mainstream, including:
• Tesla’s free energy (Yes, it is very real, but to discuss it here would detract from the main point I am trying to make in this writing.)
• Cold Fusion
• Geothermal, Tidal, Wind and Solar Energy
While I am listing these, I may as well list the ones I am on the fence about or I do not advocate:
• Hydrogen/Fuel Cells
• Natural Gas
• Coal
• Ethanol/Biofuels
• Recycling of waste material to become fuel
I will wait till I am again inspired to write so get into why I do not advocate or am unsure about the last list.
Now that that statement has been made, I can continue.
As for the myth that Global Warming is caused by our hands, I will point to the following things:
• Sunspot cycles and variations in brightness
• Jupiter and Saturn’s eccentric orbits
• Earth’s ‘wobble’
• Siberian Flats Eruption in the Permian Period
I will not bore you with long scientific explanations. I will include links so you can bore yourself silly with them.
I write this because I am truly concerned about the way in which Global Warming is presented to us. Those who usually speak of the causes of Global Warming speak in absolutes of us being the sole cause and us needing to do something about it by switching to lower greenhouse gas emission fuels.
It is my personal understanding that when someone speaks to me in absolutes or dogmatically; I should take what they say with a large boulder of salt and find out for myself what is and is not true, within the scope of my abilities.
You see, 1000 years ago, humans were told (in absolutes, mind you) that the world was flat and the sun, moon and planets traveled around earth within crystal spheres. We know better than this now.
Sun Spot cycles and Variations in Brightness
Since sometime in the 1700’s, sunspots have been observed.<< MORE >>
By Carlos Abejon
I am the Liberal-Progressives Worst Nightmare. I am an American.
I believe the money I make belongs to me and my family, not some Liberal governmental functionary be it Democratic or Republican!
I'm in touch with my feelings and I like it that way!
I think owning a gun doesn't make you a killer, it makes you a smart American.
I think being a minority does not make you noble or victimized, and does not entitle you to anything.
I believe that if you are selling me a Big Mac, do it in English.
I believe everyone has a right to pray to his or her God when and where they want to.
My heroes are John Wayne, Babe Ruth, Roy Rogers, and whoever canceled Jerry Springer.
I know wrestling is fake and I don't waste my time watching or arguing about it.
I've never owned a slave, or was a slave, I haven't burned any witches or been persecuted by the Turks and neither have you! So, shut up already.
I believe if you don't like the way things are here, go back to where you came from and change your own country! This is AMERICA.
...<< MORE >>Americans eat too much, exercise too little and as a result are too fat. Not everybody is obese, but enough people to call it a crisis. Moreover, America's obesity problem has become a metaphor for our economic troubles: We are simply too flabby to compete in a cutthroat global economy.
However, instead of seeing obesity as a problem, maybe it's time we recognized it as an opportunity—the rare chance for the United States to dominate a new industry. The bad news is a whopping 30 percent of Americans are obese, up 14 percent from the early 1970s. Obesity-related medical costs are $100 billion, almost as much as those from tobacco; and half of these costs were picked up by the public in the form of Medicare and Medicaid. According to the American Medical Association obesity causes about 112,000 premature deaths annually. Moreover, there are almost as many fat kids as adults.
The good news is we are ahead of the curve. The world may be getting flatter, but it is also getting fatter. Our head start in chubbiness gives us the chance to dominate the dynamic fat economy. Our competitive disadvantage in the gym could ultimately be a competitive advantage ...<< MORE >>
One of the problems with the financial world is that the average American does not understand it. Take for example the popular wisdom about the Wall Street crisis. According to this view: No cog in the federal government’s machine of financial regulation let down the country by failing to prevent the latest—and largest—shakeout on Wall Street; the entire system did. In short, most people think the current financial meltdown is the culmination of 28 years of deregulation and lack of oversight. Although true, this view misses an important point.
Nowhere in the avalanche of bad news is the Federal Reserve called to account. Blaming the entire system or the Republicans or the Democrats or lax regulation conveniently ignores the Fed’s role in creating excess liquidity out of thin air—trillions of paper dollars backed by nothing in particular. Without the flood of cheap cash the Fed ginned up, credit would have retained a higher cost and been less available. When banks are awash in cheap paper, they seek to lend it. If there is so much paper that all the credit worthy borrowers have drunk their fill, then banks begin turning over rocks to expose the sub-prime and sub-prime borrowers.
Debt ...<< MORE >>
Inadequate Security and Political Progress in Iraq: Since the surge began, more than 1,000 American troops have died, and despite the improved security situation, the Iraqi government has not stepped forward to lead the Iraqi people and to reach the genuine political accommodation that was the stated purpose of the surge. Our troops have heroically helped reduce civilian casualties in Iraq to early 2006 levels. This is a testament to our military’s hard work, improved counterinsurgency tactics, and enormous sacrifice by our troops and military families. It is also a consequence of the decision of many Sunnis to turn against al Qaeda in Iraq, and a lull in Shia militia activity. But the absence of genuine political accommodation in Iraq is a direct result of President Bush’s failure to hold the Iraqi government accountable.
Strains on the Military: More than 1.75 million servicemen and women have served in Iraq or Afghanistan; more than 620,000 troops have completed multiple deployments. Military members have endured multiple deployments taxing both them and their families. Additionally, military equipment is wearing out at nine times the normal rate after years of constant use in Iraq’s harsh environment. As Army Chief of Staff ...<< MORE >>
Every day we hear about US casualties in Iraq; we hear about the young men and women killed and wounded fighting for freedom in Iraq. But we are not told the real cost of the war; we are not told of the tradeoffs, opportunity costs, and the long term consequences of diverting billions of taxpayer dollars overseas in what appears to be a war without end.
The following is my attempt to connect the dots with what is happening in Iraq with what is not happening here at home. The figures I have used come from antiwar.com—a source I have found to be both accurate and concise.
Casualties in Iraq
American Military Casualties in Iraq: Total/In Comabt
American Deaths Since war began (3/19/03): 4146/3369
Since "Mission Accomplished" (5/1/03): 4007/3261
Since Capture of Saddam (12/13/03): 3685/3063
Since Handover (6/29/04): 3287/2736
Since Election (1/31/05): 2709/2473
American Wounded - Official/Estimated
Total Wounded: 30561 / Over 100000
So far the United States has spent more than $545 billion on the war in Iraq. But what does that figure mean in taxpayer tradeoffs? What does that figure mean opportunities lost and long term consequences. I looked for ...<< MORE >>
On health care reform, the American people are too often offered two extremes - government-run health care with higher taxes or letting the insurance companies operate without rules. Barack Obama believes both of these extremes are wrong, and that’s why he’s proposed a plan that strengthens employer coverage, makes insurance companies accountable and ensures patient choice of doctor and care without government interference.
The Obama plan provides affordable, accessible health care for all Americans, builds on the existing health care system, and uses existing providers, doctors and plans to implement the plan. Under the Obama plan, patients will be able to make health care decisions with their doctors, instead of being blocked by insurance company bureaucrats.
Under the plan, if you like your current health insurance, nothing changes, except your costs will go down by as much as $2,500 per year.
If you don’t have health insurance, you will have a choice of new, affordable health insurance options.
Make Health Insurance Work for People and Businesses - Not Just Insurance and Drug Companies.
• Require insurance companies to cover pre-existing conditions so all Americans regardless of their health status or history can get comprehensive benefits at fair and stable premiums.
• Create a new Small Business Health Tax Credit to help small businesses provide affordable health insurance to their employees.
• Lower costs for businesses by covering a portion of the catastrophic health costs they pay in return for lower premiums for employees.
• Prevent insurers from overcharging doctors for their malpractice insurance and invest in proven strategies to reduce preventable medical errors.
• Make employer contributions fairer by requiring large employers that do not offer coverage or make a meaningful contribution to the cost of quality health coverage for their employees to contribute a percentage of payroll toward the costs of their employee’s health care.
• Establish a National Health Insurance Exchange with a range of private insurance options as well as a new public plan based on benefits available to members of Congress that will allow individuals and small businesses to buy affordable health coverage.
• Ensure everyone who needs it will receive a tax credit for their premiums.
Reduce Costs and Save a Typical American Family up to $2,500 as reforms phase in:
• Lower drug costs by allowing the importation of safe medicines from other developed countries, increasing the use of generic drugs in public programs and taking on drug companies that block cheaper generic medicines from the market .
• Require hospitals to collect and report health care cost and quality data.
• Reduce the costs of catastrophic illnesses for employers and their employees.
• Reform the insurance market to increase competition by taking on anticompetitive activity that drives up prices without improving quality of care.
The Obama plan will promote public health. It will require coverage of preventive services, including cancer screenings, and increase state and local preparedness for terrorist attacks and natural disasters by freeing hospital emergency rooms from serving as clinics for the poor.
A Commitment to Fiscal Responsibility: Barack Obama will pay for his estimated $50 - $65 billion health care reform effort by rolling back the Bush tax cuts for Americans earning more than $250,000 per year and retaining the estate tax at its 2009 level.